Cesar Zucco
PhD in Political Science, University of California Los Angeles (2007)
Associate Professor of Politics and Public Policy
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Quick links to my c.v. in English, to my and Google Scholar sites, to data from my published articles on the , and to the Brazilian Legislative Surveys project.

I am a Political Scientist and Associate Professor at FGV/EBAPE, a school of business and public administration in Rio de Janeiro. I was previously Assistant Professor at Rutgers, and I have held visiting appointments at Nuffield College, Princeton, Yale, and IUPERJ (currently IESP). I specialize in Latin American politics, and have written on executive-legislative relations, political parties, voting behavior, and the politics of public policy. This website provides information about my published and ongoing projects, as well as links to data and replication materials. I try to keep it updated, but feel free to contact me with suggestions, corrections, or to request materials not available here.

My main current research project is "The Volatility Curse", a book written in collaboration with Daniela Campello that is expected to be in print with Cambridge University Press by November 2020. In this book, we examine how economic factors beyond the control of governments affect their popularity and reelection prospects. We examine the consequences of voters' misattribution of responsibility for economic outcomes, particularly in countries reliant on commodity exports and foreign investment flows, and how it prevents voters from holding incumbents accountable. The first paper in the project was published in The Journal of Politics in 2016, a second piece came ou in the same journal in 2020, and other working papers are now circulating (see below). Our research was mentioned in The Economist, featured in Folha de São Paulo, and discussed in several other media outlets in Brazil and abroad. We also published, in the April 2020 edition of Piauí magazine, an analysis of Bolsonaro's political prospects that builds on some of the arguments that we make in the book. 

My first book "Partisans, Antipartisans, and Nonpartisans" (with David Samuels) was published in 2018 by Cambridge University Press. We employed a mix of observational and experimental techniques to examine the determinants and consequences of party identification in Brazil. The main message of the book is that partisanship and antipartisanship developed in tandem in Brazil and have shaped voting behavior to a much greater extent than has been previously acknowledged. We are currently working of an extension and update of the arguments in the book to include the 2018 Brazilian election and beyond. 

Timothy Power and I coordinate the Brazilian Legislative Surveys, a three-decade effort to track and record the beliefs of Brazilian legislators. The 8th wave of the BLS was fielded during the first semester of 2017 and the complete dataset is available in the projects' repository. The first paper out of this wave examined the relative importance of each ministerial position in Brazil and was published in Research and Politics.  A second paper on polarization and fragmentation is forthcoming in Comparative Politics. The updated estimates of the ideological positions of Brazilian parties are available as supplemental materials to this publication.

I am also engaged in two public policy related projects. One is a Metaketa II field experiment on the formalization of low-income microentrepreneurs, in which I collaborate with Anna-Katharina LenzRafael Goldszmitdt, and Martin Valdivia. Data collection from the endline survey was completed in 2019 and the first paper from the project was recently published. The other is a joint project with Natalia Bueno and Felipe Nunes that assesses the political impacts of the "Minha Casa, Minha Vida" housing program. We finished the data collection in the first semester of 2020, and we are currently drafting the first papers from this project.

PEER-REVIEWED BOOKS

PEER-REVIEWED ARTICLES

OTHER SCHOLARLY PUBLICATIONS 

WORK IN PROGRESS

 

Última atualização: 15/09/2020